From: maxm (maxm@maxmcorp.dk)
Date: Sun Aug 16 1998 - 13:09:37 MDT
I have been thinking about strong Super Intelligences. It seems to me that
there might be a limit to how fast such an entity can grow.
I think that a SI is somewhat similar to a company, or at least that a
corporation is the closest we can come to a SI right.
A company generally has two problems to solve to be succesfull. What to do
and How to do it. I know this from myself, being an entrepeneur et all. The
biggest problem for me is not to choose how to do things. It's choosing what
to do.
I think that any SI will be limited mostly by this factor. How to do a thing
is pretty straightfoward in most cases but choosing WHAT to do (that big
bussines idea), so that you really stand out from the rest of the pack. That
is hard!
My main thesis is that there is a probability cloud which makes it hard to
see WHAT to do to succed. A lot of companies fails and lots of ideas are
proven wrong when they're tried in the marketplace.
In chess there also is a probability cloud which you can count in moves that
you can see forward in the game. In real life because of the complexity of
the system this cloud is much more dense. It's harder to see many "moves"
into future in real life.
Increased intelligence probably won't help much with this problem as real
life complexity is exponential to the "n'th" degree.
In my experience it is certainly not allways absolutely brilliant people
that are the most wealthy. Rather it seems to be people who knows how to do
one thing really well and furthermore are reasonably intelligent.
Hilsen/Regards
Max M Rasmussen
New Media Director Denmark
Bussines:
mailto:maxm@normik.dk
http://www.normik.dk
Private:
mailto:maxm@maxmcorp.dk
http://www.maxmcorp.dk
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