From: Robin Hanson (rhanson@gmu.edu)
Date: Fri Oct 20 2000 - 15:07:14 MDT
Adrian Tymes wrote:
> > > > ... If the original owner of the launcher
> > > > could have benefited by staying a little longer they would have.
> > >
> > >...Just because the original owner *thought* that X
> > >was the optimal time, doesn't mean the original owner was correct.
> >
> > Well yes of course anyone might get lucky. ... you can't be
> > consistently lucky. ...
>
>Where does luck play into it? ... We can
>construct ships now that would catch up to and pass the Voyager probes,
>despite their being launched decades ago.
My model assumes fixed technology. If technology changed, we'd have
to make assumptions about who gets it first to figure out who that
benefits.
Robin Hanson rhanson@gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu
Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University
MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444
703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323
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