Re: Why Would Aliens Hide?

From: Robin Hanson (rhanson@gmu.edu)
Date: Wed Nov 17 1999 - 09:54:00 MST


Robert Bradbury wrote:
> > P(ower) you can extract from a star ...
> > If you have two stars, ... a certain amount M of metal available, ...
>
> max P(m1) + P(m2) such that m1 + m2 = M
> m1,m2 and m1 >=0, m2 >=0
>
> > You are suggesting that an optimum is m1 = 0 and m2 = M, putting all the
> > metal at one star ...
>
>The metal may have 2 [other] uses: computation, which presumably requires
>energy, or memory, which requires very little energy ...
>The computational throughput of a parallel processing "computer" system
>... best situation to setup is m1 at the thermodyanmic limits
>and m2 with the leftovers. For example, this could be m1 = 0.999(m1+m2)
>and m2 = 0.001(m1+m2). You can't use any more metal at m1 because
>you are using all the power of your star *and* are radiating at
>the lowest background temperature possible. You may develop
>m2 but it is hardly worth the trouble, ...
>I agree, if transport costs are high, you don't go harvest metals
>and ship them home. In the long run, you will orbit ... in the
>Galaxy, ... to locations (stars or gas clouds) where quantities
>of metals are available and transport costs are very low. ...
>It takes a small fraction of the metal in a system like ours to harvest
>all of the sunlight (and hide the star in the visible region). It
>[probably] takes more metal than we have available even after
>dismantling all of the planets to *optimally* use the energy the
>sun is producing. So we can rapidly evolve to the low-SI level with
>a hidden star but may take eons to evolve to high-SI levels.

Let me paraphrase to see if I understand you. You seem to be saying
that creatures at one star care only about the energy and metals at
that star. Thus the only interest they have in other stars is to
collect metal from those stars and bring it back home. This interest
is temporary, because eventually they have more metal at home than you
can use, given their limited local energy. Also, they have no interest
in the energy at other stars, because energy is too expensive to
immediately transport or to store awaiting a low cost opportunity.

Empirically, I think this predicts that we will not see metal planets
around visible stars. This is a prediction we should be able to
verify in the next twenty years or so. I presume you use "metal"
in the usual astrophysical sense of everything but H and He?

It also predicts we will not find effective ways to transport or
store energy. But how hard would it be to surround a star with a
parabolic mirror to direct starlight to a different system? Or to
power a laser directed there? Perhaps you want to argue that the
local demand for energy will also satiate, as well as the demand
for mass.

More later.

Robin Hanson rhanson@gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu
Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University
MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030
703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323



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