Re: Open Letter to Lee Crocker

From: Eliezer S. Yudkowsky (sentience@pobox.com)
Date: Wed Jul 21 1999 - 20:47:46 MDT


paul@i2.to wrote:
>
> On Tue, 20 July 1999, "Eliezer S. Yudkowsky" wrote:
>
> > Open letter, huh? Well, for what it's worth, Crocker's right and you're
> > wrong. You're insufficiently skeptical and most of the "mysteries"
> > you've been posting about are known loads of crap.
>
> There is a fine line between being sufficiently skeptical
> and blindly assuming something isn't the case.

Yes, I know. There are people who disbelieve in psychic powers because
said powers are "unscientific", the same kind of people who are willing
to suppress their own mistakes because they don't want to give psychics
"ammunition". I'm talking specifically about James Randi, CSICOP, and
the infamous sTARBABY fiasco.

That's not why I disbelieve in psychic powers; I disbelieve in them
because nobody's done anything useful with the concept. I believe in
science, not because it's rational or logical or otherwise morally good,
but because science works. It produces socks, electric motors and
nuclear weapons. Psychic powers don't work because psychics don't win
the lottery. QED.

> Just because I don't believe
> in psychic powers either, does not mean I must dogmatically believe
> they don't exist because of insufficient evidence. The only rational choice
> left is *to not believe in anything*.

And I don't. (I doubt Lee Crocker does either.) I simply use the
minimum number of tentative differentials - statements of the form "A is
more probable than B" - that I need to choose between actions.

-- 
           sentience@pobox.com          Eliezer S. Yudkowsky
        http://pobox.com/~sentience/tmol-faq/meaningoflife.html
Running on BeOS           Typing in Dvorak          Programming with Patterns
Voting for Libertarians   Heading for Singularity   There Is A Better Way


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