POLITICS: Re: Avoiding nuclear anarchy

From: N.BOSTROM@lse.ac.uk
Date: Wed Jan 08 1997 - 11:27:36 MST


          Mark Grant wrote:
          
>generally when you try to use force to prevent the
>development and use of a technology, all you do is give
>people a false sense of security which prevents them from
>adopting realistic defences.
          
          There is some truth in this, but to me it sounds a little
          too defeatist. I would rather suggest that we attack this
          false sense of security directly, by informing people of the
          dangers and persuading them to adopt realistic defences.
          Even if the ban must ultimately break down, a delay in the
          deployment of new dangerous technologies could give us the
          time think out what could go wrong and to develop
          appropriate countermeasures. Moreover, nobody knows what the
          power balance between offence and offence will turn out to
          be with e.g. nanotech warfare. It could be that the
          advantage will always be on the side of the destructive
          capacities, and in that case a ban is our only hope.
          
          As a clarification I should also say that I do not necessary
          propose to prevent the development and use of very dangerous
          technologies altogether, but only their use by are not
          sufficiently responsible and careful. This does not mean
          that the UN would be the only agent that could use this
          technology, but it might mean that UN would have the mandate
          to prevent rough nations, groups and individuals from
          developing them.



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