Anti-singularity?

From: Robert J. Bradbury (bradbury@aeiveos.com)
Date: Sat Dec 21 2002 - 02:00:46 MST


Slashdot is also pointing out the article in Forbes involving the 85
biggest ideas of the last century.

http://forbes.com/2002/11/01/85.html

http://slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=02/12/20/1636229&mode=thread&tid=126

>From the /. leadin "and a frightening realization that not
much of interest has come out of the last 10 years (a whopping 4
of the 85 ideas)."

That looks like a pretty low productivity during the last decade
(particularly considering the amount of money that got spent during
the dot-com boom). Did Forbes simply mis-judge the list or are
we slowing down in inventiveness? This would seem to be counter
to the singularity hypothesis.

Could it be possible we are approaching some limit on the phase
space of what humans (or teams of humans) are capable of? I.e.
to push the envelope further requires transhumans or AIs.

I'm just asking the questions...

Robert



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