From: Max M (maxmcorp@worldonline.dk)
Date: Mon Nov 18 2002 - 07:34:39 MST
Anders Sandberg wrote:
> OK, let us make a thought experiment. I have built the new Golem XV
> computer, a few cubic kilometers (see at the end for specs) of
> computronium able to simulate all of humanity and the goings on in the
> entire biosphere at a sufficient precision to give accurate
> predictions with a given level of precision for significantly long
> periods (say a year for detailled forecasts and a decade for more
> sketchy estimates).
Disclaimer: I don't think communism and centralisation is a good idea!!
Anders, It would probably not be as bad as you describe. I believe that
a central planning system with massive computer power and good data,
should do at least as well as the Sovjet Union did. It is probably not
nessecary to model society at the detailed level you are trying to.
Plus it would probably be possible to develop systems with a less
chaotic behaviour than you seem to imagine. Like small amounts of
overproduction in vital areas like food production. Just like the EU has
been succesfully doing since WWII.
The biggest problem with a centralised data processing approach would
most likely be how to implement new technology and new methods.
It would be just like developing new technology from market analysis. It
just won't fly as it just cannot be modelled. A centralised system would
leave little room for trial and error.
regards Max M
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