New Scientist Note: Singularity by 2010?

From: Charles Hixson (charleshixsn@earthlink.net)
Date: Tue Jun 11 2002 - 14:27:46 MDT


http://www.newscientist.com/hottopics/sciencedebates/article.jsp?debate=3

contains the fragment:
Ian Pearson: ...Looking in turn at those--well, I'm a prime culprit. I'm
working in the field of artificial intelligence. I have a prototype
design for something that might be 50,000 million times smarter than the
human brain. Target date is 2010. The only thing that's not feasible in
the film /Terminator/ is that the people win. If you're fighting against
technology which is 50,000 million times smarter than you, you probably
will not win.

How reliable is Ian Pearson as a predictor??



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