Re: New Scientist Note: Singularity by 2010?

From: Eugen Leitl (eugen@leitl.org)
Date: Tue Jun 11 2002 - 16:56:25 MDT


On Tue, 11 Jun 2002, Charles Hixson wrote:

> Ian Pearson: ...Looking in turn at those--well, I'm a prime culprit. I'm
> working in the field of artificial intelligence. I have a prototype
> design for something that might be 50,000 million times smarter than the
> human brain. Target date is 2010. The only thing that's not feasible in

Uh-oh. Another "I can build a brainnnnn!" type.

> the film /Terminator/ is that the people win. If you're fighting against
> technology which is 50,000 million times smarter than you, you probably
> will not win.

Duh. If you fight against something about twice as smart as you you're
going to lose, unless the odds are awfully to your favour. 50*10^9 times
smarter than us is even difficult to define. SAT scores certainly won't
do.
 
> How reliable is Ian Pearson as a predictor??

About as reliable as an Irish Retreiver, I gather.



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