Moore's `Law' still on track to 2005

From: Damien Broderick (d.broderick@english.unimelb.edu.au)
Date: Mon Dec 11 2000 - 19:07:39 MST


http://www.cnn.com/2000/TECH/computing/12/11/ibm.reut/index.html

            Santa Clara, California-based Intel said its technology will
enable the
            creation of $1,500 computers that operate at 10 billion cycles
a second
            (10 gigahertz), power that is comparable to mainframe machines
that
            cost millions of dollars.

            Intel also discussed at the International Electronic Design
            Manufacturers show in San Francisco a prototype of a transistor
that is
            just 0.03 microns wide, compared with 0.13 for most transistors
today.
            That could enable chips that have 400 million transistors and
run at
            speeds as fast as 10 gigahertz.

            Today's Pentium 4 processors, by contrast, contain 42 million
            transistors and run at 1.5 gigahertz. Intel said that the new
technology is
            expected to start appearing in its products in 2005.

            "This demonstrates there's no fundamental barrier to scaling
Moore's
            Law until the middle of the decade," said Rob Willoner, a market
            analyst in Intel's technology and manufacturing group.

[well, that's not startling, I guess; we need to know about 2015...]



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