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<P CLASS="western" STYLE="margin-bottom: 0in">How much money will be
available for the most well-funded neuromorphic AI projects?
</P>
<UL>
<LI><P CLASS="western" STYLE="margin-bottom: 0in">
<B>Claim: </B>Terry
Sejnowsky, a leading neuroscientist at the Salk Institute, has
argued that attempts to simulate the brain are "bound to fail,
because the mind is too mysterious to model". Other neuroscientists
have expressed similar sentiments. Brain simulation projects may never really be taken seriously.<BR>
<B>Implication:</B> The
leading project isn't very likely to have more than $10 million at
its disposal to purchase computers for simulations. However, much
lower than this is unlikely, as projects like Blue Brain have
already been granted similar levels of funding.
<input type="button" onclick="loadDistribution('Sejnowsky', 7, 0.5);" value="Load distribution"</input><BR>
<B>Source:</B>
Lehrer, Jonah. "Out of the Blue." <I>Seed Magazine</I>. 3
Mar. 2008. Retrieved 8 Aug. 2008
<<U><A TARGET="_blank" CLASS="western" HREF="http://www.seedmagazine.com/news/2008/03/out_of_the_blue.php?page=all&p=y" TARGET="_blank">http://www.seedmagazine.com/news/2008/03/out_of_the_blue.php?page=all&p=y</A></U>>.</P>
<LI><P CLASS="western">
<B>Claim: </B>AI would be of great value in
everything from education to life extension research, from product design
to helping humans become more rational. The economic and societal
benefits of AI would be immense. <BR>
<B>Implication:</B> Those in
positions to dole out funding will adopt this view and invest
heavily in neuromorphic AI projects, ultimately investing a similar
amount as the Human Genome Project, which cost $3 billion, making
around $500 million available for the computers themselves.
<input type="button" onclick="loadDistribution('Voss', 8.69, 0.5);" value="Load distribution"</input><BR>
<B>Source:</B> Voss, Peter. "Increased Intelligence, Improved Life."
The Singularity Summit 2007. Palace of Fine Arts Theater, San
Francisco. 8 Sept. 2007. Accelerating Future. 2 Oct. 2007. Retrieved
8 Aug. 2008 <<U><A TARGET="_blank" CLASS="western" HREF="http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/people-blog/?p=222" TARGET="_blank">http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/people-blog/?p=222</A></U>>.</P>
<LI><P CLASS="western">
<B>Claim:</B> Most AI research is not focused
on general intelligence, but on specific projects with near-term
results.<BR>
<B>Implication:</B> A general intelligence project would
be mostly ignored and would fail to get funding, maybe having $1
million or less at its disposal for computers.
<input type="button" onclick="loadDistribution('Norvig et al.', 6, 0.5);" value="Load distribution"</input><BR>
<B>Source: </B>
<U><A TARGET="_blank" CLASS="western" HREF="http://www.amazon.com/Artificial-Intelligence-Modern-Approach-Prentice/dp/0137903952/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1242146404&sr=1-1">Artificial
Intelligence: A Modern Approach</A></U>. By Stuart J.
Russell, Peter Norvig and John F. Canny. Upper Saddle River: Pearson
plc, 1999. Pg. 25-26.</P>
<LI><P CLASS="western">
<B>Claim: </B>Though neuromorphic AI may not
get government funding, a wealthy individual, such as Microsoft's
Paul Allen, may invest funds in such a project because of its large
potential, even if the chance of success is not
excellent.<BR>
<input type="button" onclick="loadDistribution('Leonard', 7.47, 0.5);" value="Load distribution"</input><BR>
<B>Implication:</B> Funding for computers similar to
the funding that was available for SpaceShipOne, the first
commercial spaceplane — approximately $30 million.<BR>
<B>Source:</B>
David, Leonard. "Paul Allen Revealed as SpaceShipOne Investor."
SPACE.com. 18 Dec. 2003. Retrieved 8 Aug.
2008<BR><<U><A TARGET="_blank" CLASS="western" HREF="http://www.space.com/news/allen_rutan_031217.html" TARGET="_blank">http://www.space.com/news/allen_rutan_031217.html</A></U>>.</P>
</UL>
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