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authorAngel Leon <gubatron@gmail.com>2015-01-31 01:48:40 +0100
committerbitcoindev <bitcoindev@gnusha.org>2015-01-31 01:04:09 +0000
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[Bitcoin-development] Is there a way to estimate the maximum number of transactions per minute Bitcoin can handle as it is today?
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+From: Angel Leon <gubatron@gmail.com>
+Date: Sat, 31 Jan 2015 01:48:40 +0100
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+Subject: [Bitcoin-development] Is there a way to estimate the maximum number
+ of transactions per minute Bitcoin can handle as it is today?
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+
+On the Chinese "Single's Day" (sort of like the american Black Friday)
+according to MIT's Tech Review
+<http://www.technologyreview.com/news/534001/alipay-leads-a-digital-finance-revolution-in-china/>
+magazine
+
+"Alipay handled up to 2.85 million transactions per minute, and 54 percent
+of its transactions are made via mobile device."
+
+For a few weeks I've been reading the conversations about block sizes and
+the experiments being done on the subject with larger blocks.
+
+On the day with the most transactions, the Bitcoin block chain averages
+about 73 transactions per minute. I kept wondering what blocksize we'd need
+for handling 100,000 transactions per minute, and estimated that roughly
+we'd need a blocksize of about 1300x times larger than what we have now, so
+bigger than 1Gb block... but seeing the numbers Alipay gets to handle just
+in China make me wonder how scalable is Bitcoin if it were to truly compete
+with worldwide financial services.
+
+If you were to include double the number Alipay can handle, you'd be
+shooting about 6 million transactions per minute, or roughly 60 million
+transactions per block.
+
+If you average every transaction around 250 bytes, then you'd need ~15
+Gigabytes per block to be broadcast and hashed by all the full nodes every
+10 minutes, eating good 2Tb of storage daily... do miners have enough
+bandwidth and CPU power to handle this?
+
+are my scalability concerns absurd?
+
+http://twitter.com/gubatron
+
+--001a11c003723e5adc050de8161a
+Content-Type: text/html; charset=UTF-8
+Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
+
+<div dir=3D"ltr"><div>On the Chinese &quot;Single&#39;s Day&quot; (sort of =
+like the american Black Friday) according to <a href=3D"http://www.technolo=
+gyreview.com/news/534001/alipay-leads-a-digital-finance-revolution-in-china=
+/">MIT&#39;s Tech Review</a> magazine</div><div><br></div><div><span style=
+=3D"color:rgb(0,0,0);font-family:NHG,&#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;,Helvetica,Ari=
+al,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:20px">&quot;Alipay handled up to 2=
+.85 million transactions per minute, and 54 percent of its transactions are=
+ made via mobile device.&quot;</span><br></div><br>For a few weeks I&#39;ve=
+ been reading the conversations about block sizes and the experiments being=
+ done on the subject with larger blocks.<br><br>On the day with the most tr=
+ansactions, the Bitcoin block chain averages about 73 transactions per minu=
+te. I kept wondering what blocksize we&#39;d need for handling 100,000 tran=
+sactions per minute, and estimated that roughly we&#39;d need a blocksize o=
+f about 1300x times larger than what we have now, so bigger than 1Gb block.=
+.. but seeing the numbers Alipay gets to handle just in China make me wonde=
+r how scalable is Bitcoin if it were to truly compete with worldwide financ=
+ial services.<br><br>If you were to include double the number Alipay can ha=
+ndle, you&#39;d be shooting about 6 million transactions per minute, or rou=
+ghly 60 million transactions per block.<br><br>If you average every transac=
+tion around 250 bytes, then you&#39;d need ~15 Gigabytes per block to be br=
+oadcast and hashed by all the full nodes every 10 minutes, eating good 2Tb =
+of storage daily... do miners have enough bandwidth and CPU power to handle=
+ this?=C2=A0<br><br>are my scalability concerns absurd?<br><br clear=3D"all=
+"><div><div class=3D"gmail_signature"><a href=3D"http://twitter.com/gubatro=
+n" target=3D"_blank">http://twitter.com/gubatron</a><br></div></div>
+</div>
+
+--001a11c003723e5adc050de8161a--
+
+