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authorAnthony Towns <aj@erisian.com.au>2022-07-12 09:57:31 +1000
committerbitcoindev <bitcoindev@gnusha.org>2022-07-11 23:57:41 +0000
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parente8fc746481b870725549d7c269c4860ba07d4807 (diff)
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Re: [bitcoin-dev] Surprisingly, Tail Emission Is Not Inflationary
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+Date: Tue, 12 Jul 2022 09:57:31 +1000
+From: Anthony Towns <aj@erisian.com.au>
+To: Bitcoin Protocol Discussion <bitcoin-dev@lists.linuxfoundation.org>
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+Subject: Re: [bitcoin-dev] Surprisingly, Tail Emission Is Not Inflationary
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+
+On Mon, Jul 11, 2022 at 08:56:04AM -0400, Erik Aronesty via bitcoin-dev wrote:
+> > Alternatively, losses could be at a predictable rate that's entirely
+> > different to the one Peter assumes.
+> No, peter only assumes that there *is* a rate.
+
+No, he assumes it's a constant rate. His integration step gives a
+different result if lambda changes with t:
+https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=dN%2Fdt+%3D+k+-+lambda%28t%29*N
+
+On Mon, Jul 11, 2022 at 12:59:53PM -0400, Peter Todd via bitcoin-dev wrote:
+> Give me an example of an *actual* inflation rate you expect to see, given a
+> disaster of a given magnitude.
+
+All I was doing was saying your proof is incorrect (or, rather, relies
+on a highly unrealistic assumption), since I hadn't seen anybody else
+point that out already.
+
+But even if the proof were correct, I don't think it provides a useful
+mechanism (since there's no reason to think miners gaining all the coins
+lost in a year will be sufficient for anything), and I don't really
+think the "security budget" framework (ie, that the percentage of total
+supply given to miners each year is what's important for security)
+you're implicitly relying on is particularly meaningful.
+
+So no, not particularly interested in diving into it any deeper.
+
+Cheers,
+aj
+
+