Re: REVIEW: Kurzweil talk

From: Russell W. Craig (Xxzen@swbell.net)
Date: Sun Jan 24 1999 - 17:39:40 MST


Would some of these limiting factors be the ability to recoup the costs of
creating the increased computing power? I assume now that certain advances
in computing power are left on the market long enough to be profitable before
the next level is introduced.

hal@rain.org wrote:In any case, these kinds of extrapolations are worthless,
in my opinion.

> The fact is that we face significant technological challenges in trying
> to maintain these rates through the next two decades. Virtually every
> technology of the past has gone through periods of exponential growth,
> only to reach some limiting factor. I expect the same thing to happen
> to electronics, in the pre-nanotech era.
>
> Hal



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