Re: ECON: The Affluent Society

From: Peter C. McCluskey (pcm@rahul.net)
Date: Thu Jan 21 1999 - 23:28:56 MST


 phoenix@ugcs.caltech.edu (phoenix@ugcs.caltech.edu) writes:
>On practical grounds, shirking is less of a problem when dealing with people
>who enjoy their work. The incentives from welfare or unemployment insurance

 Which seems to imply that their incentives are less important, and that
the incentives on other people are what should control the choice of how
much government to have.
 But I question whether "shirking" is a good description of what we need
incentives for. Many people are willing to work hard at something, but
without the feedback of a good incentive structure, they will fail to
choose tasks that are of much value to consumers. Look at a random sampling
of freeware on the web (rather than the most successfull examples) and I
think you'll find a lot of people who worked hard at producing something
others would use, and who failed because they didn't measure the needs of
users adequately. Or look at people who design tax shelters, working hard
to produce something society shouldn't need.

>So. On practical grounds, private ownership and production are a success, and
>vital to any society, and urgent for any poor one. On practical grounds, a
>wealthy society does not need to be growing at the fastest possible rate,

 While it appears that at least in the short term there is a tradeoff between
growth and economic safety, you should think about the long-term safety
of a country that slows its growth enough that it can't compete militarily
with countries that maximise their growth. Even if such fast growth economies
are peacefull, there's plenty of ways that they can diminish the economic
safety the slow growth was supposed to buy (e.g. causing the most productive
members of the slow growth society to emigrate, making the technologies
used in the slow growth countries obsolete).

>which is why its members will be buying insurance and engaged in other
>members, not all market friendly, to protect their elemental affluence. A
>wealthy society can afford to sacrifice 1% of GDP growth and buy basic social

 Viewing the drag on the economy as a single variable that can be set where
we want it obscures the biggest problems with government's influence on the
economy. Suppose we assume that income taxes as they existed 5 years ago were
imposing a uniform 1% penalty on economic activity. Then assume that the
desire to protect this income motivates some government employees to hint
that they will harrass companies who implement ways to transmit money
electronically that are harder for the government to trace than credit cards.
How would you quantify the harm it does by increasing the costs of starting
a small business on the web (not to mention the secondary effects of the
resulting more-centralized-than-optimum concentrations of power)? Or by
preventing the development of an easy to use system for electronic commerce?

 damien@ofb.net (damien@ofb.net) writes:
>We might expect future economists to have learned from the mistakes of their
>predecessors, the way the classical liberals learned from the mercantilists
>and modern economists feel they learned from the classical liberals.

  I'm sure there will be economists who have learned from the mistakes of
central banks, but the process by which central bankers get their jobs
has not shown a clear tendency to select for that kind of person.

>And what do you mean, approaches don't work? Since WWII we've traded low
>inflation and high frequency, intense depressions for (at best) steady
>inflation and milder recessions. Monetary policy can control inflation;
>deficit spending in a depressed economy can restore production.

 One could just as easily claim that the milder recessions have been caused
by more informed private economic actors, technological improvements which
improve inventory management, etc., and that the only trade that got made
was low inflation for high inflation.
 I suspect that even if you can demonstrate that government monetary policy
works better than, say, the gold standard did, you would have trouble
arguing that it works better than competing privately issued fiat currencies.

>And again, gov'ts don't leave markets alone largely because people and
>businesses don't want to be left alone in it.

 True, but this doesn't distinguish between people who want programs that
benefit society and special interests who want to use government to transfer
money from the politically weak to themselves.

-- 
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