From: Bradley Felton (zim@pobox.com)
Date: Mon Jul 27 1998 - 19:05:53 MDT
At 10:20 AM 7/27/98 -0700, Robin Hanson wrote:
>On Damien B.'s cue, I'll say I think Max's "inevitable" claim is too strong.
>There is nothing economically inevitable about wanting to have fewer kids
when
>you're rich; it's a matter of preferences. And there are in fact a minority
>of rich folks who seem to prefer large families, and whose kids do too.
I too find such claims suspect--they seem to be prime cases of post hoc,
ergo propter hoc. One could probably find as much "evidence" for a
connection between Coca-Cola consumption and smaller families.
I suspect memetic influence is the likely causal factor, rather than
wealth. We need look no farther than Madison Avenue to find memetic
attacks targeted at the well-to-do.
Also, my imperfect knowledge of history leads me to believe that the
connection between wealth and smaller families is one which doesn't go back
that far.
OTOH, the rich family that has lots of kids ends up dividing the pie a lot
of ways, ofttimes enough to disqualify the offspring from the "rich" title.
If a significant percentage of the "rich" get that way by inheritance,
then the state of being "rich" will tend to evolve small families....
As nature doesn't measure wealth in dollars, I suspect this isn't a good
trade in the long run.
-Bradley Felton zim@pobox.com
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