Re: The Singularity

From: Dan Clemmensen (Dan@Clemmensen.ShireNet.com)
Date: Wed Jul 15 1998 - 17:07:53 MDT


Hara Ra wrote:
>
> >Actually, the consensus position of the radical singulatarian
> >community (consisting of me and perhaps 'gene ;-) ) is that the
> >motivations and actions of the SI are intrinsically unpredictable.
> >There is no reason to predict that the SI will be inimical, benevolent
> >or indifferent to humans. I'm personally hoping for benevolence, and
> >I think the potential benefit is worth the risk.
> >
> This all assumes that SIs are separate from us. One way to avoid this is
> to form a symbiosis with them. This brings up other interesting issues,
> such as bandwidth, and whether the symbiotic system would feel that the
> human component is worth keeping around.
>

My personal favorite scenario is that the SI results from a hunman/computer
collaboration. Thus, the SI starts in symbiosis with at least one human.
I don't know what happens shortly thereafter. The most likely scenario IMO
Is an explosive growth phase based on adding computer capacity (via the net)
without adding additional humans. Note that this is SI singular, not SI
plural, even if multiple humans are involved. At some point, the SI may
choose to add more humans, either volunteers or draftees, and grant some
level of autonomous identity, less than, equal to, or greater than we have
now. However, it's IMO impossible to assign a probability to any action the
SI may choose to take that isn't precluded by the laws of physics. That's
why I'm very interested in prognostications up to the advent of the SI, and
relatively uninterested in the post-SI era.



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