Re: Near-Term Scenarios -- Nanotech

From: GBurch1 (GBurch1@aol.com)
Date: Sun May 17 1998 - 17:56:42 MDT


In a message dated 98-05-17 15:47:32 EDT, Dane Clemmensen wrote:

> We appear to disagree on the boundary between "simple" and "complex".
> I place a desktop-sized supercomputer factory in the "simple" category.
> I can't tell for sure, but you seem to disagree? It would be fun to
> rank-order a set of parts or devices and see where each of us places
> the boundary. We could each place the rank-ordered devices on a timeline,
> except we both agree that a breakthrough is needed, more or less implying a
> bimodal distribution.

A list of stuff ranked from "simple" to "complex"

Real Simple:
  thread
  fabric
  rods
  macro-scale diamond structural modules
   -- from diamond 2x4s to diamond screws and nuts

Simple:
 solid, complex shapes
    -- furniture, building modules, hand tools, many household utensils,
       device casings

Pretty Simple:
 micromachine components
    -- gears, pistons, etc.
 macromachine components
    -- gears, pistons, etc.

Mildly Complex:
 simple machines
  -- electric motors, gear assemblies, lever complexes

Complex:
 common machines
   -- pumps, complete transmissions

Moderately Complex
 multi-component devices
    -- disc drives, simple engines, simple chemical processors, digestible
food

Damned Complex
 advanced machines
    -- "planes, trains and automobiles", pallatable food

Hellishly Complex
 Machine systems
    -- robots, factories, appetizing food, people

        Greg Burch <Gburch1@aol.com>----<burchg@liddellsapp.com>
           Attorney ::: Director, Extropy Institute ::: Wilderness Guide
        http://users.aol.com/gburch1 -or- http://members.aol.com/gburch1
                   "Good ideas are not adopted automatically. They must
                      be driven into practice with courageous impatience."



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