From: Hal Finney (hal@rain.org)
Date: Tue Dec 31 1996 - 12:02:40 MST
From: Eliezer Yudkowsky <sentience@pobox.com>
> Chance of next round = 35/36, increase = 10 times. Series does not
> converge.
>
> Change of next round = 1/36, increase = 10 times. Series converges, but
> now it terminates almost immediately.
>
> Now the paradox is reversed; 90% of the players will see the last round,
> but there's a 96% (?) chance that a given round will end.
No paradox here: not true that 90% of players will see the last round, rather
_at_least_ 90% of players will see the last round, because may hit on first
round. (Actually if hit on second round, 10/11 or ~91% of players see last
round.) 96% is consistent with >= 90%.
Hal
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