From: Terry Donaghe (terry@Donaghe.com)
Date: Wed Jun 19 2002 - 16:39:37 MDT
2,000 GigaHerz PCs in 5 years???
I've heard 30Ghz... but not 2,000...
Can you give us the link for that story?
Thanks!
Terry
---------- Original Message ----------------------------------
From: Phil Osborn <philosborn2001@yahoo.com>
Reply-To: extropians@extropy.org
Date: Tue, 18 Jun 2002 20:49:33 -0700 (PDT)
>Somewhere back there in the posts of the past week,
>there was one from some person who challenged
>everything I said in a prior post from his position of
>authority, so of course I tended to discount
>everything he said, as my experience is that arguing
>from authority carries a very high likelihood that the
>position is utterly wrong. In addition, I have a
>pretty good record of prognostication in the areas in
>question, altho I'm always happy to learn if I'm
>wrong.
>
>Anyway, the gist of my post was that perhaps real AI,
>or at least smart enough simulations of such to cause
>interesting legal delimnas, might sneak in the back
>door via the gaming scene in the "near future." By
>that, I was thinking five to ten years. There was a
>news brief in the papers a month or two back to the
>effect that Intel said that they were going to have
>processors for desktop running at 2,000 GHz within
>five years. Similar news had been reported from IBM
>re their ultra-hi-density drives, and someone else -
>anybody recall who? - said something similar about
>memory, all in the same near-term frame of up to five
>years.
>
>With that kind of processing power, it will be possile
>to have much smarter characters - and to train them at
>home with lots of really big simulations of
>simulations before letting them out to play in a
>"real" game.
>
>Then, of course, there's CYC, which is supposedly
>available for public experimentation. So, all we need
>is a few people like the guys who blew the whole video
>rendering market wide open with the Toaster, and
>things start getting really interesting.
>
>
>
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