From: Robert J. Bradbury (bradbury@aeiveos.com)
Date: Tue Dec 04 2001 - 10:48:36 MST
I said...
> Picking up the most recent "predictions" from AMD & Intel
> we hit attoscale circa 2155. The same predictions yield the
> date of the nano(atomic)scale speed bump are between 2030-2035.
Signs of the singularity: When Robert has to update his
predictions every 12 hours...
Given the most recent AMD timeline (30nm by 2009):
http://www.electic.com/headlines/2001/12/03/10073813231.shtml
we squeak under 1nm by ~2029 and hit attoscale by ~2145.
I expect I'll have to update this again around the time of
the evening news today...
Also IBM announced that they think transistor speeds will top
out around 30 THz.
http://www.research.ibm.com/resources/news/20011203_transistor.shtml
There is a discussion on /. for those interested.
Robert
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