From: hal@finney.org
Date: Mon Oct 15 2001 - 21:28:50 MDT
Dan Clemmensen writes:
> We are a fairly quantitative bunch of people, so I think we
> stratify primarily by projected date of the event. I'm still
> on track for 2006, Elizier appears to think 2008, and most
> of the "mainstream" projections are in the 2020-2050 range. I
> get the sense that newer "mainstream" projections are closer,
> in the 2015-2020 range.
I wonder if there is a correlation between your own age and the number
of years you expect until some kind of singularity. Maybe young people
expect greater rates of change than people who have been adults for
many decades.
Hal
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