From: Eliezer S. Yudkowsky (sentience@pobox.com)
Date: Sat Jul 21 2001 - 01:40:37 MDT
Damien Broderick wrote:
>
> Maybe we'll need such
> measures increasingly during the next 20 or 30 or even 50 years (Eliezer,
> ever the optimist, thinks we'll have real AI inside 10 years).
Option C, Damien... I don't think we "will" have it inside 10 years. I am
not a futurist, nor am I in the business of predicting the future. I
think we can have real AI inside 10 years with enough support. I think
there's an excellent chance that we'll need real AI inside the next 10
years. And there is, correspondingly, a chance that we won't get in time
and will die.
An optimist? I suppose I am. But a very *nervous* optimist.
-- -- -- -- --
Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/
Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
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