From: GBurch1@aol.com
Date: Sun Mar 18 2001 - 13:15:17 MST
[Just now getting around to this one:]
Randy Smith wrote:
> On this list, now and in the past, it seems like there are always a
> lot of predictions and reports about when such and such geewhiz
> science-tech will be available,Ya know, I would really like to see
> all the failed predictions about when such and such would happen. This
> list started in the mid-90s, correct? I am sure there are plenty of
> targets for this sort of operation.I actually tried this once but it
> turned out that the search facility for the archives was not up to the
> task. It took too long. Any volunteers?
Three years ago I put together some of my own predictions for the period
2000-2015, with comments from the list:
http://users.aol.com/gburch2/scnrio1.html
Interestingly, we saw an example of getting something on that list right
recently with a post by Jeff Albright of this link:
http://www.latimes.com/business/cutting/ttimes/20010308/t000020343.html
It looks like the area in which I was most wrong was space technology (being
characteristically over-optimistic), while I was a little too conservative on
the computer technology front. The medical and biotech stuff was spot-on.
Interesting to go back and check this periodically.
Greg Burch <GBurch1@aol.com>----<gburch@lockeliddell.com>
Attorney ::: Vice President, Extropy Institute ::: Wilderness Guide
http://www.gregburch.net -or- http://members.aol.com/gburch1
ICQ # 61112550
"We never stop investigating. We are never satisfied that we know
enough to get by. Every question we answer leads on to another
question. This has become the greatest survival trick of our species."
-- Desmond Morris
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