From: Robin Hanson (rhanson@gmu.edu)
Date: Wed Jan 10 2001 - 09:38:15 MST
On 1/7/2001 Greg Burch wrote:
>The CIA paper entitled "Global Trends 2015" has gotten a lot of popular press
>and discussion. I don't know if a URL for the report has been published
>here. If not, here it is:
> http://www.odci.gov/cia/publications/globaltrends2015/index.html
I noticed that to forecast instability, this report uses a "youth bulge"
demographic variable very close to what I was using in
http://hanson.gmu.edu/worldpeace.html (which I have substantially
revised since I last posted about it here).
Robin Hanson rhanson@gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu
Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University
MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444
703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323
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