From: Robin Hanson (rhanson@gmu.edu)
Date: Tue Oct 10 2000 - 07:43:12 MDT
Hal Finney wrote:
>The problem with the current direction is that a great deal of time is
>spent on mechanical tasks of layout, construction, lubrication and repair.
>This is wasted effort in terms of trying out new cognitive structures.
>It seems to me that this can only slow down AI progress in the long term.
>We are sacrificing true AI progress in favor of emotionally impressive
>demos.
I think there is a real possibility that AI research is mostly hardware
limited. If so, then the optimal strategy would be to mostly skip the
research now, invest the money somewhere while waiting for the hardware
to get good enough, and then spend lots more on research later on. If
so, the real waste is spending money on long-term-goal-directed AI
research now at all. Of course compared to other big wastes in the world
this is may be small potatoes.
Robin Hanson rhanson@gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu
Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University
MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444
703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323
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