From: Franklin Wayne Poley (culturex@vcn.bc.ca)
Date: Wed Aug 23 2000 - 12:40:14 MDT
On Tue, 22 Aug 2000, John M Grigg wrote:
> Damien Broderick wrote:
> >
> > >One such prediction is that by 2050 robots will have the "brainpower" of a
> > >human mind.
> >
> > Maybe Hans has shifted his estimate into the future by yet another decade,
> > then (it's hard to tell from the brief article). In MIND CHILDREN it was
> > 2030. In ROBOT, 2040.
> >
> > Damien Broderick
>
> Eliezer wrote:
> That's okay. I moved my estimate from 2030 to 2020 to 2010, so it all
> balances out.
> (end)
>
> Eli, I will bet you a case of your favorite brand of root beer that it will be at least 2020 before robots have the full cognitive power of a human being. Though by 2010 there may be robots as smart as I am! lol
>
> John :)
Draw an imaginary profile of humanoid mental ability vs. human mental
ability if you were to use the state-of-the-art technology now with no
budgetary restrictions. Then we'll see who wins the case of root beer.
FWP
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Machine Psychology: http://www.atoma.f2s.com/atomareport.html (file #10)
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