From: altamira (altamira@ecpi.com)
Date: Sun Aug 20 2000 - 11:42:29 MDT
>
> Amara Graps wrote:
>
> > The women told me that the quotation is called "Amara's Law":
> >
> > "In reacting to change, there is a tendency to overestimate the
> > impact of change in the short run and underestimate its long
> term impact."
Here's a clue to this mystery:
Excerpt from http://www.byte.com/column/BYT19990928S0001
The Internet, in my view, is pre-eminent because it has the potential to
subsume all the preceding information and communications technologies. The
hard part is figuring out when and to what degree. I'm reminded of Amara's
law, postulated by Roy Amara, a colleague who was president of The Institute
for the Future: "We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the
short run and underestimate the effect in the long run."
>
Barbara
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