From: Ian Goddard (Ian@goddard.net)
Date: Sat May 27 2000 - 00:08:09 MDT
NON-GUNSHOT CAUSE OF KEY WACO-FLIR FLASHES DISCOVERED
The Vector Data Systems report made no effort to explain
how multiple rapid flashes several times per second could
occur in fixed locations on the ground as seen in the 1993
Waco FLIR tape, which multiple experts say are gunshots.
Recently I proposed this rapid-flash reflection machine
as a non-gunshot causal theory for those rapid flashes:
http://Ian.Goddard.net/waco/flir07.gif
http://Ian.Goddard.net/waco/flir03.htm
That reflection machine rapidly vibrates a 1 by 3 foot
reflective panel up and down several times per second,
simulating key flash sequences on the 1993 Waco FLIR. It
isn't likely that such a machine rested next to Mt Carmel!
Shortly after proposing that reflective machine I realized
a far more probable causal hypothesis for the rapid flashes:
the reflective panel isn't being vibrated by a machine, but
by the free gale-force winds blowing through the scene that
day, and thus the panel is flapping like a flag in the wind.
Hypothetical scenario: an infrared-reflecting surface like
mylar is attached to a board and a loose edge is flapping
in the wind with a cyclic "flap rate" identical to the
cyclic rate of key flashes on the Waco FLIR. The flapping
reflective surface produces a rapid series of flashes in
one fixed location as seen by the FLIR camera, resolving
the rapid-flash problem without a machine or a machinegun.
My plan was to acquire mylar and staple a segment edge to
a board with a strong fan on it and see if I might be able
to film it causing rapid flashes of visible light (and thus
presumably also of IR radiation). However, that's no longer
necessary: I just acquired the best version of the 1993 Waco
FLIR I've ever seen, it's dramatically better than the copy
I've had. To my complete astonishment, on the better copy a
flapping panel about 1 by 3 feet attached to a fallen-down
portion of gym wall is visible IN THE EXACT LOCATION THAT
THE MOST INFAMOUS SERIES OF FLASHES OCCUR AS THE FIRE STARTS!
That flash series is emphasized by Dr. Edward Allard in both
"Waco: The Rules of Engagement" and "Waco: A New Revelation."
This flapping panel in the same location as those key
flashes also produces flashes at other times during the
hour before the fire. So it's clear to me that there's a
flapping panel attached to a fallen board that creates an
illusion of machinegun-fire as its moving surface causes
a beam of reflected infrared energy to pass repeatedly
over the FLIR sensor, just like the panel on the reflection
machine I proposed http://Ian.Goddard.net/waco/flir07.gif ,
except the panel next to Mt Carmel was powered by the wind.
The existence of this flapping panel, or perhaps a segment
of mylar, is not mentioned in the Vector Data report, which
made no effort to explain the critical factor of the rapid,
machinegun-like nature of the flashes on the 1993 Waco FLIR.
I've come to the sobering conclusion, after analysis of
(1) a newly-acquired 1993 Waco FLIR video, (2) gunshots
seen in the Somalia FLIR shown on "Waco: A New Revelation"
and (3) the Vector Data Report, that ALL of the flashes in
question on the 1993 Waco FLIR can be shown to be or to
most-probably be solar reflections, contradicting both my
previously stated position and the conclusions of infrared
experts that the gunshot theory has rested on. I'll shortly
publish an illustrated webpage explaining this conclusion,
which is supported in large by facts not covered in the
Vector Data report, and thus shall not be repetitive, and
shall address key FLIR issues of concern to Waco watchers.
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GODDARD'S JOURNAL: http://www.erols.com/igoddard/journal.htm
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