[p2p-research] The Fourth Turning (book)

[Michel Bauwens]

Hi Marc,

I haven't read the book, but quite a few things about it, and it's very
convincing. They or some other authors have written an update I believe,
showing how these anglo-saxon trends are being globalized and unified into
one world trend.

If you ever have time, it would be nice to present these ideas on the blog,

Michel

On Fri, Mar 27, 2009 at 3:27 PM, marc fawzi <marc.fawzi at gmail.com> wrote:

> The following is a review from 2002 of the book The Fourth Turning, which
> you may have heard of in connection with the current crisis. The authors had
> predicted back in 97 that a major crisis on the scale of the Great
> Depression would happen around 2005. They were not that far off!
>
>
>
> "  47 of 48 people found the following review helpful:
>  3.0 out of 5 stars *Explanatory--but don't rely on it entirely*, February
> 19, 2002
>  By *A Customer*
>  The book _The Fourth Turning_ is a history combined with prophecy written
> by generational sociologists William Strauss and Neil Howe. This book is
> inspiring and provides interesting explanations for why things are the way
> they turned out to be, but it still doesn't have all the answers.
>
> The theory is basically that history goes through four types of turnings: a
> conservative High, in which institutions are stable after the success of a
> major war (the Era of Good Feelings, the Victorian Era, the '50s), a
> spiritual Awakening in which young people scrap convention for religious
> discovery (Ben Franklin's Great Awakening, the Transcendental Awakening, the
> turn-of-the-century Muckrake reform era, the '60s), a wild Unravelling (the
> colorful Gold Rush, the roaring twenties, and the current era that began
> about 1984), and a fourth turning -- or Crisis (the Revolutionary War, the
> Civil War and the Great Depression and World War II were the last three
> examples). A catalyst will spark the Fourth Turning that will become around
> 2005. These turnings change when each generation enters a new phase of life.
>
> After you read this book, it's one of those books that completely
> transforms your mode of thinking. Both the present and the prophesied future
> are explained by means of generations -- fit into four different types
> ("archetypes") that shift along with the turnings. The authors identify the
> Lost Generation (born 1883-1900), the G.I. Generation (born 1901-1924), the
> Silent Generation (born 1925-1942), the Baby Boomers (born 1943-1960), the
> 13th Generation (born 1961-1981) and the Millennial Generation (born since
> 1982). They explain how these generations relate to those throughout
> history, and date the historical generations born all the way back to 1433.
> Generation X, for instance, which corresponds roughly with what they
> identify as the 13th Generation, is similar to the freewheeling Lost
> Generation of the Roaring '20s, their flouting of the Drug War brings to
> mind the Lost Generation during the Prohibition Era. Once you read this
> book, you start to think of everyone generationally, all your family and
> friends, people you know, celebrities, people you read about in the news,
> historical figures, the characters on TV shows and the ages of people in TV
> commercials. Your mind accepts a completely new paradigm -- and a
> classification of people that works, as the authors state, much more
> reliably than gender, ethnicity, or even region of the U.S."
>
>
> <http://goog_1238142290919>
>
>
> http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0767900464?ie=UTF8&tag=charleshughsm-20&linkCode=as2&camp=1789&creative=9325&creativeASIN=0767900464
>
>
>
>
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