[p2p-research] Fwd: [ox-en] [Fwd: [F/OSS-Community] The Total Growth of Open Source]

Sun Apr 27 20:32:24 CEST 2008

there's a political issue to: how much of that code is commercial open
source, with communities being not in control?

but in any case, it also confirms that it is a serious, and not
marginal, phenomemon,

Michel

On Sat, Apr 26, 2008 at 6:23 PM, Samuel Rose <samuel.rose at gmail.com> wrote:
> From the paper:
>
> "Our analysis shows that the average commit size is almost constant while
> the commit frequency (number of commits per week) increases exponentially
> between Jan 1995 to Dec 2006. This verifies our findings about the
> exponential growth in open source."
>
> Interesting (and so is the model and method they used to filter the data).
>
> Lines of code is of course different than factors like "number of people".
> It would also be useful from a social perspective to know who the people
> are, and in what context they are participating (personal, through
> employment by business, self-employed, etc). But this is of course
> impossible to discern from the data provided by ohloh.
>
> Still, exponential growth of lines of code seems to me also to have some
> connection to technology "growth" as described by Kurzweil
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accelerating_change That at least seems to
> apply frequently to technology that is useful, and that can be easily
> evolved.
>
>
>
> On Sat, Apr 26, 2008 at 2:19 AM, Michel Bauwens <michelsub2004 at gmail.com>
> wrote:
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
> > ---------- Forwarded message ----------
> > From: Christian Siefkes <christian at siefkes.net>
> > Date: Apr 25, 2008 9:35 PM
> > Subject: [ox-en] [Fwd: [F/OSS-Community] The Total Growth of Open Source]
> > To: list-en at oekonux.org
> >
> > -------- Original Message --------
> > Subject: [F/OSS-Community] The Total Growth of Open Source
> > Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2008 19:29:24 +0800
> > From: Dirk Riehle <dirk at riehle.org>
> > To: community at FOSS.mit.edu
> >
> > Hello everyone,
> >
> > we recently measured the growth of much of the active code base of open
> > source as well as number of active projects and could best explain it
> > using an exponential model. We have found these results, as
> > straightforward as they may be, quite helpful when making our case for
> > funding further open source research, and I thought, so might you. I
> > have appended the reference to the paper.
> >
> > Cheers,
> > Dirk
> >
> > Title: The Total Growth of Open Source
> >
> > Authors: Amit Deshpande, Dirk Riehle
> >
> > Abstract: Software development is undergoing a major change away from a
> > fully closed software process towards a process that incorporates open
> > source software in products and services. Just how significant is that
> > change? To answer this question we need to look at the overall growth of
> > open source as well as its growth rate. In this paper, we quantitatively
> > analyze the growth of more than 5000 active and popular open source
> > software projects. We show that the total amount of source code as well
> > as the total number of open source projects is growing at an exponential
> > rate. Previous research showed linear and quadratic growth in lines of
> > source code of individual open source projects. Our work shows that open
> > source is expanding into new domains and applications at an exponential
> > rate.
> >
> > Reference: In Proceedings of the Fourth Conference on Open Source
> > Systems (OSS 2008). Springer Verlag, 2008, to appear.
> >
> > http://www.riehle.org/publications/2008/the-total-growth-of-open-source/
> >
> > --
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> >
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> > --
> > |-------- Dr. Christian Siefkes --------- christian at siefkes.net ---------
> > | Homepage: http://www.siefkes.net/    |    Blog: http://www.keimform.de/
> > | Peer Production in the Physical World:       http://www.peerconomy.org/
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> >
> >
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>
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-- 
The P2P Foundation researches, documents and promotes peer to peer alternatives.

Wiki and Encyclopedia, at http://p2pfoundation.net; Blog, at
http://blog.p2pfoundation.net; Newsletter, at
http://integralvisioning.org/index.php?topic=p2p

Basic essay at http://www.ctheory.net/articles.aspx?id=499; interview
at http://poynder.blogspot.com/2006/09/p2p-very-core-of-world-to-come.html
BEST VIDEO ON P2P:
http://video.google.com.au/videoplay?docid=4549818267592301968&hl=en-AU

KEEP UP TO DATE through our Delicious tags at http://del.icio.us/mbauwens

The work of the P2P Foundation is supported by SHIFTN, http://www.shiftn.com/