Zero Powers wrote:
>
> Hey Eli-
>
> Had you heard of this project before? How does their approach compare with
> your seed AI theory? What do you think of their chances for passing the
> Turing test in 10 years?
Unfortunately, they don't expose the theory they're using online. People
always have capabilities and knowledge that aren't immediately apparent,
and geniuses may manage to build something real even under the umbrella of
an unworkable theory. Because they've decided to clam up about what
they're actually doing, I can't give as detailed an analysis as I'd like.
Basically I have to interpolate from what I know about the ways that
people tend to think about AI, the accomplishments they've chosen to boast
about, and the few fragments of technical description that are available.
That said, their AI theory most certainly appears to suck, and I would put
their chance of passing the Turing test in ten years at zero, unless the
organization shifts to a completely new theory. My guess is that the
incoherent babblings they've achieved are every bit as dumb as they
appear, and not simple cases of something that could scale up to greater
complexity.
> >From: "J. R. Molloy" <jr@shasta.com>
>
> >http://dailynews.yahoo.com/h/nm/20010819/tc/tech_computer_hal_dc_1.html
-- -- -- -- --
Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/
Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
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