My impression, based at least by his most recent talk at the last Foresight
Gathering was that it wasn't predictable to Minsky on a time table, but more
based on someone coming up with an intelligent algorithm, and relied on this
potential code, rather than a time scale. (that it may be at any time)
I personally can not direct the outcome to any particular private or
military budgets persay, just as I can not see at this given moment, who
will produce the assembler in the nanotech arena (raises head, in hopeful
dreaminess of being in that lab) but as for AI, perhaps it will be the
Singularity Institute..........At any rate, some things are not as
predictable as some "surprise=supergreat programming" results.
Gina~
Franklin Wayne Poley wrote:
> Correct me if I am in error, but the attitude of this (Extropians) list is
> that AI to surpass human equivalency is either here (in private and/or
> military budgets) or almost here (within a decade). Minsky OTOH sees AI as
> having a long way to go to get to that level. I'll forward a small sample
> of my exchanges with him.
> FWP
Gina "Nanogirl" Miller
Nanotechnology Industries
http://www.nanoindustries.com
Personal: http://www.nanogirl.com
nanogirl@halcyon.com
"Nanotechnology: Solutions for the future."
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