Long-Run Growth Trends

Robin Hanson (hanson@econ.Berkeley.EDU)
Fri, 05 Jun 1998 15:20:01 -0700

The long-term history of world economic growth seems to be
describable as sequence of exponential growth modes. In the
current mode, which has lasted about a century, the economy
doubles every 15 years. If history is a guide, the economy
may transition within the next 50 years or so to a faster
mode, with a doubling time between one month and four years.

At http://hanson.berkeley.edu/longgrow.html I explain why.

Robin Hanson
hanson@econ.berkeley.edu http://hanson.berkeley.edu/
RWJF Health Policy Scholar, Sch. of Public Health 510-643-1884
140 Warren Hall, UC Berkeley, CA 94720-7360 FAX: 510-643-2627