Re: Clueless Bio Futurists

From: John Marlow (johnmarlow@gmx.net)
Date: Wed May 16 2001 - 16:38:35 MDT


It is we who are clueless regarding the complexities inherent in the
biosphere and its workings. More likely than not, we'll pollute or
tinker ourselves to death--not realizing, not caring, or both.

jm

On 16 May 2001, at 17:23, Robin Hanson wrote:

> The following futurist discussion seems completely
> clueless to me. Humanity and its descendants will change
> so fast that they will completely dominate changes in the
> biosphere. Within a thousand years, there probably won't
> be a substantial biosphere that we would recognize.
>
>
> >Papers from the National Academy of Sciences Colloquium on The Future of
> >Evolution: 8 May 2001; Vol. 98, No. 10
> >URL: http://www.pnas.org/content/vol98/issue10/index.shtml
> >
> >The biotic crisis and the future of evolution
> > Norman Myers and Andrew H. Knoll
> > PNAS 2001;98 5389-5392
> > http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/98/10/5389
> >
> >
> >Lessons from the past: Evolutionary impacts of mass extinctions
> > David Jablonski
> > PNAS 2001;98 5393-5398
> > http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/98/10/5393
> >
> >
> >Lessons from the past: Biotic recoveries from mass extinctions
> > Douglas H. Erwin
> > PNAS 2001;98 5399-5403
> > http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/98/10/5399
> >
> >
> >Loss of speciation rate will impoverish future diversity
> > Michael L. Rosenzweig
> > PNAS 2001;98 5404-5410
> > http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/98/10/5404
> >
> >
> >What was natural in the coastal oceans?
> > Jeremy B. C. Jackson
> > PNAS 2001;98 5411-5418
> > http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/98/10/5411
> >
> >
> >The future of coral reefs
> > Nancy Knowlton
> > PNAS 2001;98 5419-5425
> > http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/98/10/5419
> >
> >
> >Disrupting evolutionary processes: The effect of habitat fragmentation on
> >collared lizards in the Missouri Ozarks
> > Alan R. Templeton, Robert J. Robertson, Jennifer Brisson, and Jared
> > Strasburg
> > PNAS 2001;98 5426-5432
> > http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/98/10/5426
> >
> >
> >Human-caused environmental change: Impacts on plant diversity and evolution
> > David Tilman and Clarence Lehman
> > PNAS 2001;98 5433-5440
> > http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/98/10/5433
> >
> >
> >Plant biology in the future
> > F. A. Bazzaz
> > PNAS 2001;98 5441-5445
> > http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/98/10/5441
> >
> >
> >The evolutionary impact of invasive species
> > H. A. Mooney and E. E. Cleland
> > PNAS 2001;98 5446-5451
> > http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/98/10/5446
> >
> >
> >Rapid plant diversification: Planning for an evolutionary future
> > R. M. Cowling and R. L. Pressey
> > PNAS 2001;98 5452-5457
> > http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/98/10/5452
> >
> >
> >Human-modified ecosystems and future evolution
> > David Western
> > PNAS 2001;98 5458-5465
> > http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/98/10/5458
> >
> >
> >The current biodiversity extinction event: Scenarios for mitigation and
> >recovery
> > Michael J. Novacek and Elsa E. Cleland
> > PNAS 2001;98 5466-5470
> > http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/98/10/5466
> >
> >
> >Declines of biomes and biotas and the future of evolution
> > David S. Woodruff
> > PNAS 2001;98 5471-5476
> > http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/98/10/5471
> >
> >
> >Intervening in evolution: Ethics and actions
> > Paul R. Ehrlich
> > PNAS 2001;98 5477-5480
> > http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/98/10/5477
>
>
> Robin Hanson rhanson@gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu
> Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University
> MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444
> 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323
>

John Marlow



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