|Spudboy100@aol.com wrote,
|> Wow, so much for analysis and prognostication. Basically, the article
|> suggests that the technological forecasting is always wrong and always
|> hideously, overly optimistic.
|]
|I'm afraid this is how I see most of our predictions. After watching the
|moon landings, I regularly saw predictions of Moon bases by 1980, Mars bases
|by 1990, flying cars in the year 2000. AI such as HAL was predicted to be
|this year, as well as a manned mission to Jupiter. I really thought I would
|live to visit other planets, but now that hope seems unlikely unless a major
|breakthrough in life-extension allows me to go farther into the future.
In fact, if humans decided they _needed_ a Moon base, they would exist one.
The technology to go there exists, as the Moon landing demonstrated.
The technology exists, but not the economics.
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b30 : Mon May 28 2001 - 10:00:05 MDT