At 01:43 AM 01/24/2001, Samantha Atkins wrote:
>I do not trust the latest report as I do not trust this UN panel.
I don't trust the UN panel, either, as far as predicting the weather. I
posted the article in response to Mike Lorrey's "read it and weep" post,
because it was an example of a different opinion, and it mentioned some of
the effects global warming would have. Judging by the performance of
various weather models over the past 10 years, I don't think anyone
understands weather well enough to make accurate predictions.
> So
>committing policy decisions on the basis of this report and especially
>ones of tremendous economic consequence would be highly irrational.
Given the apparent volatility of the weather as well as rapid technological
changes taking place at the moment, the best policy seems to be
flexibility. This is true at a personal level and also true for business
firms and states. At the level of the business firm, greatest flexibility
results from maintaining a small core group of relatively permanent
decision makers associated with a pool of independent contractors who work
on a project-by-project basis. At the level of the state, an association of
independent small states is more flexible than one large state.
Barbara
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