From: Matt Mahoney (matmahoney@yahoo.com)
Date: Mon Oct 15 2007 - 19:49:06 MDT
--- Dagon Gmail <dagonweb@gmail.com> wrote:
> I'd would *really* like to hear estimates of anyone willing to bother
> responding
> when - (If you reply give me an estimate of "likely" and "almost certain".
> I will be liberally and smugly quoting these estimates to anyone within
> earshot where I live.
>
> 1- we will be able to extend the lifespan of the majority of
> all humans by more than one average year for every calender year
>
> 1b - .... including for people over 60
>
> 2 - we will be able to change the body of most human subjects as to
> be able to live indefinitely, barring diseases
>
> 2b - ... we will be able to remove the vast majority of random afflictions,
> diseases and body malfunctions
>
> 3 - we will be able to reverse aging through medical treatments and give
> people a body of young adult age qualities.
>
> 4 - reconstruct physical bodies, giving subjects all singular qualities in
> their
> body that are available as equivalents in the animal kingdom.
>
> Estimates assuming the world will develop normally, i.e. Bush doesn't
> prove to be the Dajjal, we aren't hit with random closeby GRBs, etc.
>
These things should all happen in quick succession. Vernor Vinge guessed
about 30 years in 1993. Kurzweil says 2045. I will decline to speculate
further.
-- Matt Mahoney, matmahoney@yahoo.com
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