10x?! (was guaranteeing Friendlyness)

From: Michael Vassar (michaelvassar@hotmail.com)
Date: Mon Dec 05 2005 - 09:19:54 MST


Ben: Why would you only extrapolate 10-fold improvements in computing
hardware. Things could slow down a bit, especially due to heat dissipation
problems, but 100-fold over 15 years still seems very conservative.
Kurzweil would say to expect 40,000-fold improvements. How much does the
difference matter?



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