Re: poly: Modeling Economic Singularities

From: Robin Hanson <hanson@econ.berkeley.edu>
Date: Thu Mar 26 1998 - 15:59:12 PST

At 06:44 PM 3/26/98 -0500, you wrote:
>I also found the fact that the model had no place to plug in changes
>in productivity interesting.

The function A(s) desribes productivity. Change it and productivity
changes.

>Overall, I found the "model" in question very arbitrary. Why these
>numbers and not others? Why these relationships?

I am drawing on a larger literature and summarizing it for this audience.
I'd need a much longer presentation to justify everything to your
satisfaction. If you have a particular thing that bothers you the
most, please ask. But as I've told you before I can't see how to
productively respond to your generic requests to justify everything.

>Sure, the Club of Rome equations *seemed* reasonable, but they weren't.

Does that mean that you reject everything that seems reasonable?

Robin Hanson
hanson@econ.berkeley.edu http://hanson.berkeley.edu/
RWJF Health Policy Scholar, Sch. of Public Health 510-643-1884
140 Warren Hall, UC Berkeley, CA 94720-7360 FAX: 510-643-8614
Received on Fri Mar 27 00:06:17 1998

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