Re: Singularity?

From: Eliezer S. Yudkowsky (sentience@pobox.com)
Date: Wed Sep 01 1999 - 13:52:13 MDT


mjg223 wrote:
>
> I don't agree with this. We understand, in principle, how quantum
> processes could be harnessed to do computational work. Actually building
> one is an engineering problem. (Not to minimize the size of that problem -
> the difficulty of the engineering problem is why Leonardo DaVinci didn't
> go into business selling helicopters.)
>
> The brain is not just a big general purpose
> processor, there's a lot of software and specialized hardware that we
> don't understand.

See http://pobox.com/~sentience/AI_design.temp.html [343K]

> Where does your 2020 figure come from? (I'm afraid I
> don't know how to expand the 'CRNS' qualifier.)

Current Rate No Singularity. The 2020 figure is how long I think it'll
take for AI researchers to think their way out of a cardboard box if I'm
not running things. I'd *like* to have it done by 2005.

-- 
           sentience@pobox.com          Eliezer S. Yudkowsky
        http://pobox.com/~sentience/tmol-faq/meaningoflife.html
Running on BeOS           Typing in Dvorak          Programming with Patterns
Voting for Libertarians   Heading for Singularity   There Is A Better Way


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