RE: FLT800 Conspiracy Theory

From: Ian Goddard (Ian@Goddard.net)
Date: Tue Feb 16 1999 - 16:43:20 MST


At 08:37 AM 2/16/99 -0600, Billy Brown wrote:

>Ian, I must have missed something. What exactly is the government supposed
>to be covering up in this mess? Absent some motive, I'm more inclined to
>suspect them of incompetence than malice.

  IAN: I guess you didn't know about the witnesses.
  There were over 150 witnesses of a streak of light.
  Out of 102 that said where it originated, 96 said
  it originated on from the surface of the Earth.
  That's from the still covered-up (but leaked
  through Aviation Week) NTSB witness report.

  Dozens of witness accounts are available.
  Those that I could place on a map are here:
  http://www.erols.com/igoddard/twa-core.htm

  Witnesses say that the streak left a column of
  white smoke in its path. Solid-rocket fuel gives
  off white smoke, yet burning jet fuel, what the govt
  needs you to believe they saw, yields black smoke.
  Of course when it comes to government claims, most
  people seem are willing to believe black = white.

>1) An unpowered object, starting from rest, can not fall through atmosphere
>faster than it would through a vacuum. It doesn't matter what shape the
>object is, because any acceleration it gains from aerodynamic effects will
>be smaller than the drag from having to pass through atmosphere.

  IAN: We agree, but...

>2) An aircraft that has significant horizontal motion, and then goes into a
>dive, can easily fall much faster than it would in a vacuum. There is a
>rather complex aerodynamic effect that allows it to trade horizontal for
>vertical motion.

  IAN: That didn't happen to PAN AM 103, and it went
  from horizontal to falling without any upward rise.
  The forward velocity translates into a higher velocity
  upon impact, but not a faster rate of fall. From the
  physics textbook "Elementary Classical Physics":

     "If one throws an object horizontally and
     simultaneously drops a second body from
     rest, the two objects strike a horizontal
     plane at the same instant. The thrown object
     strikes the surface with a larger velocity..."

>I haven't seen anything that shows FLT800 to have 0
>forward momentum - in fact, such a claim seems highly unlikely.

  IAN: It seems you also havn't seen the CIA video.

>Moving up
>at a steep slope seems to fit the evidence better, but that would leave the
>aircraft with significant forward motion when it starts its descent.

  IAN: An object climbing upwards falls when it
  has reached zero velocity. What evidence does
  the physics-defying rocket-like rise fit? Have
  you found a flaw in Ed Zehr's analysis which
  proves that the noseless jet would stall in
  under 5 seconds? If not, based upon what do
  you make your claim? I guess faith in Govt.

  Edward Zehr's dynamic analysis:
  http://www.copi.com/articles/Goddard/ZehrGut2.html
  Zehr's static analysis (scroll to A REALITY CHECK):
  http://www.freerepublic.com/forum/a40058.htm

  The fact is that the CIA video has been abandon
  by 99% of missile-theory critics, since they
  realize that Ed Zehr is right. It is still
  accepted by the government and the media,
  who do not have to defend their claims.

>3) We don't know exactly when the engines went out. Obviously, if some of
>them were still running when the plane went into its descent this would
>produce a very fast powered dive. This sort of descent can easily approach
>the speed of sound, even for otherwise subsonic aircraft.

  IAN: Aviation mechanics will tell you that jet-engine
  operation depends upon the proper angle of attack of
  the relative wind, thus, "when the engines pitch up
  the compressors stall and the engine flames out
  unless laminar airflow is restored rapidly."

>4) Air/aviation gas explosions are not limited to some puny level of force.
>I don't know who this info originally came from, but they're wrong.
>Depending on the exact mixing conditions you can get anything from
>non-explosive combustion to very large explosions. Under worst-case
>conditions (small droplets dispersed through a large volume of air before
>being ignited) the effect can be equivalent to several times the same mass
>of TNT. The air force makes some impressive bombs that use this principle.

  IAN: That's only because a fuel cloud covers
  more area before it explodes, distributing its
  max 60 psi force over a large area than the 1000
  or so psi of a centrally source stick of TNT.

>5) Burning fuel tanks sometimes produce a significant propulsive force - the
>tank can act like an inefficient rocket engine.

  IAN: Any evidence to support that claim?

>When you add up all these factors, it becomes obvious that you really can't
>say anything definitive about the fall rate of a crippled aircraft without a
>lot of detailed information. Even then, getting anything better than a
>rough estimate of its behavior would require a supercomputer-based physics
>simulation.

  IAN: You've switched from the problem of knowing
  what DID happen from the critique the CIA scenario.
  Knowing what would have happened and knowing what
  the CIA said happened are two different things.
  We can know what the CIA said happened.



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