From: Eliezer S. Yudkowsky (sentience@pobox.com)
Date: Sat Oct 24 1998 - 18:09:52 MDT
Kathryn Aegis wrote:
>
> By the year 3000, it goes almost without saying that most humans will
> have the means and opportunity to evolve to the transhuman stage. My
> question--will we have seen the first posthuman(s) by then? How many?
> In what form?
By the year 2050 at the absolute latest (assuming no civilization-destroying
wars) I expect that there will be nothing recognizably mortal, much less
human, in our Solar System. It's a matter of positive feedback.
What will there be in a subjective millennium? (Or whatever period puts us at
an interesting point along the trajectory?) Now *there* is an interesting question...
--
sentience@pobox.com Eliezer S. Yudkowsky
http://pobox.com/~sentience/AI_design.temp.html
http://pobox.com/~sentience/sing_analysis.html
Disclaimer: Unless otherwise specified, I'm not telling you
everything I think I know.
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