Re: The Problem with Futurism

From: GBurch1@aol.com
Date: Sat Oct 10 1998 - 08:09:54 MDT


In a message dated 98-09-29 12:13:47 EDT, Robin Hanson wrote:

> >I would amend that to say that most proponents of progress are not fondly
> >revised by present day historians. Since most present day historians are
of
> >the luddite/crunchy/left persuasion, ...
>
> I'd bet that if a widely respected Extropian like Hal Finney or Carl
Feynman
> were to look at a random sampling of people labeled "kooks" by their
> contemporaries in the last 500 years, they'd conclude most of these "kooks"
> really were, in Hal's or Carl's favored sense of the word. Sure among
those
> millions were people advocating stuff we like, but what fraction of "kooks"
> was that? And how many of the "kooks" advocating stuff we like had good
> arguments for their positions?

This point is made very well in the book I'm currently reading, "Why People
Believe Weird Things" by Michael Shermer (one of the founders of Skeptic
magazine). Pseudoscience advocates often make the argument that "they laughed
at Galileo" as some kind of support for whatever brand of BS they happen to be
peddling. Shermer does a good job of showing how this rhetorical device has
zero logical value.

         Greg Burch <GBurch1@aol.com>----<burchg@liddellsapp.com>
           Attorney ::: Director, Extropy Institute ::: Wilderness Guide
        http://users.aol.com/gburch1 -or- http://members.aol.com/gburch1
                   "Good ideas are not adopted automatically. They must
                      be driven into practice with courageous impatience."
                                    -- Admiral Hyman Rickover



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