Singularity discussion has begun

From: Robin Hanson (hanson@econ.berkeley.edu)
Date: Mon Sep 07 1998 - 13:57:45 MDT


Welcome everyone to the promised singularity discussion,
which began on the 6th, and will end on the 19th. (We have
had two posts so far, by Eliezer S. Yudkowsky and den Otter.)

I have two roles here, one as editor/fascilitator and another as
participant. I'll try to make clear which hat I'm wearing in
each post. In this post, I'm wearing an editorial hat.

Our discussion so far, the comments and Vinge's replies, are
thoughtful and informative. But they also impress on me how broad
this singularity topic remains. In my experience, singularity
conversations typically haven't gone into enough depth on any one
topic to really make much intellectual progress. So my hope in
creating this discussion was to try to create a critical mass of
focus and attention. It's not clear that this will happen, but
I'm still hopeful.

With this hope in mind, let me encourage participants to focus
on a few central issues, rather than following all interesting
associations evoked by the "singularity" concept. And let us
try to make some real contact, rather than posturing at a distance.
Let us try to make clear what are the claims we are debating,
before we get too far into debating them. And let us try to offer
evidence and analysis for or against various positions, rather than
just declaring our beliefs.

Of course I may have misjudged the whole situation. What do the rest
of you think of the state of the debate on singularity?
What do you think is most needed to clarify these issues?

Robin Hanson
hanson@econ.berkeley.edu http://hanson.berkeley.edu/
RWJF Health Policy Scholar, Sch. of Public Health 510-643-1884
140 Warren Hall, UC Berkeley, CA 94720-7360 FAX: 510-643-8614



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