From: Nick Bostrom (bostrom@ndirect.co.uk)
Date: Fri Aug 28 1998 - 11:08:33 MDT
Colin wrote:
> If the Argument is true then, by the very nature
> of it, there isn't squat we can do.
That's not true. Even under the interpretation that doom will strike
soon (just one among several other interpretations), we can reduce
the risk of doom by reducing the various empirical threats - black
goo, meteor impact, high-energy physics experiment, nuclear or germ
warfare, environmental collaps, etc. This will affect the
empirical priors that we feed into Bayes' theorem and hence the
posterior probabilities that come out.
_____________________________________________________
Nick Bostrom
Department of Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method
London School of Economics
http://www.hedweb.com/nickb n.bostrom@lse.ac.uk
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