From: Robin Hanson (hanson@hss.caltech.edu)
Date: Tue Apr 15 1997 - 15:20:10 MDT
Michael Lorrey writes:
>So liars have an evolutionary advantage over Bayesians?
In our historical tribal context. Not necessarily in our future.
>>This suggests a future of very patient risk-averse asexual Bayesians,
>>in contrast to the impatient optimistic risk-taking young males who
>>dominate science fiction.
>
>So you are saying that the future portends being boringly stable, with
>high social pressures for conformity (if you reproduce asexually, you
>are producing identical clones) with low growth, low interest,
I said nothing of the sort. Future asexual entities change themselves
during their lives, so grandchildren can be very different. I said
nothing about stability or social pressure. Interest rates should
track growth rates, which should be as high as possible.
Robin D. Hanson hanson@hss.caltech.edu http://hss.caltech.edu/~hanson/
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