From: Michael M. Butler (mmb@spies.com)
Date: Wed Nov 20 2002 - 17:07:42 MST
2002-11-20 12:56:15, Amara Graps <amara@amara.com> wrote:
>"WHY DO PREDICTIONS DIFFER?
>Asher & McNaught assume mild ejection from comet at perihelion in
>forward direction of motion - following Reznikov & Kondrat'eva.
>Lyytinen assumes release at perihelion (no ejection), but continued
>broadening and acceleration at perihelion due to radiation pressure
>effects. Vaubaillon has built a theoretical model based on numerous
>dynamically diverse meteoroids. Jenniskens derived trail positions
>from recent Leonid MAC observations and finds systematic shifts
>(ejection towards the Sun), and no significant broadening of showers
>over time."
>
>
>Therefore, while it is sad for all of the people who did not see a
>show, it means that there _might_ be some new physics, that wasn't
>included in the models before. That's really interesting.
Plus, it might mean that it won't be 2099 before the next show. See you next year. :)
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