From: Emlyn O'regan (oregan.emlyn@healthsolve.com.au)
Date: Tue Oct 29 2002 - 17:59:15 MST
>
> > > I thought Emlyn's estimate was rather ingenious, but no, it didn't
> > > take that into account nor were his numbers exact, but it was an
> > > interesting shortcut approach that gets damn close to the right
> > > answer with a lot less work. I guess those of us who are spoiled
> > > on spreadsheets and Monte-Carlo programs get lazy and
> fail to think
> > > of creative shortcuts like that.
> >
> > LOL! I thought that your method was ingenious, and mine was
> just a dumb
> > brute force approach. I wouldn't have called it creative;
> just the most
> > obvious method to a programmer.
>
> Well, I'm a programmer, and I didn't think about breaking up the
> distribution into equiprobable pairs and then applying Bayes--I just
> did the brute force count 'em all and add 'em up. But then, I've
> been a poker player for as long as I've been a programmer, so I'm
> used to just adding up all the possibilities.
>
>
Damn, I think you meant Hal's estimate. I didn't use that method at all. I
just got my robo slave to flipping coins, then counted 'em up.
Emlyn
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