Re: As war with Iraq seems to be more on the agenda...

From: Mike Lorrey (mlorrey@yahoo.com)
Date: Wed Sep 11 2002 - 16:44:11 MDT


--- "Ross A. Finlayson" <extropy@apexinternetsoftware.com> wrote:
>
> On Thursday, August 1, 2002, at 08:34 AM, John K Clark wrote:
>
> > "Damien Sullivan" <phoenix@ugcs.caltech.edu> Wrote:
> >
> >> Last I heard the attack would probably be in October
> >>
> It would cost billions and billions and even billions of dollars.
> That's not an investment, it's an expense.

Not necessarily. If a democratically elected and unsanctioned Iraq
floods the world oil market, depressing oil prices down to $10 a
barrel, Americans recoupe tenfold the cost of invasion in lower oil
prices. As such, it is an investment.

> It would involve levels of
> urban fighting not seen by U.S. forces. Many Iraqi civilians would
> be at high risk. Success is not assured. Concentrated air defenses
> imply losses in an air campaign.

Excqueeze me, but how many aircraft did we lose over Bagdad last time
around? none. Iraqs capabilities are less now than then, and ours are
more. I'd love to see this 'urban fighting'. The only fighting would be
Iraqis fighting each other for places in line to surrender to us, much
like last time.

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